Irish Open picks
03 September 2025

Irish Open picks

Straight Outta Vegas AM

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Will Doctor delivers the sharpest card for the DP World Tour action at the Irish Open. -Discussing top 4 on odds board at K Club -1 matchup, 1 t10 -1 outright -Sleeper, best bet Will Doctor (0:15–0:28) launches the Golf Preview Podcast with intensity: “A lot of energy, a lot of focus. Let’s get a roll.” That opening frames the episode as both sharp handicapping and urgent insight for fans eager to follow the Irish Open at The K Club.

Will Doctor (0:37–1:46) reviews the European Masters where Tristan Lawrence won at 22-under, moving to 19th in the Order of Merit. Rasmus Højgaard and Sami Välimäki tied second at 20-under with Matt Wallace, while Matthew Fitzpatrick closed at 19-under. The clustering of elite scores highlights a high-form field, critical when projecting into this week’s event on a demanding course.

Will Doctor (1:47–2:31) then plays an emotional post-round exchange with Matt Wallace. “You put yourself into the Ryder Cup conversations” frames the stakes. “He’s boring” drops oddly, followed by silence that signals heartbreak. “You’ve shown some serious courage” reframes that silence into grit. “Can’t talk” conveys how raw the moment is. “I’d never give up on the Ryder Cup, you know” defines Wallace’s mentality: pursuit against odds. “Thank you” closes the scene, showing how deeply personal these finishes are.

Will Doctor (2:32–25:46) pivots: “Golf is not some game… It is life and death for most of these guys.” That statement underscores career volatility across the DP World Tour, Korn Ferry, and PGA Tour fall. Ryder Cup selections—Lowry, Straka, Åberg, Hovland, Rahm, Fitzpatrick—illustrate the difficulty of breaking through. Lawrence’s resume, with five DP World Tour wins and streaky putting, shows how volatility drives outcomes: he went from missed cuts to a top-four at Sudal before surging. Betting context is backed by numbers: +2.1 units last week, 20.9 units on the season. Player stats matter—Nikolai Højgaard went 73–67, missing the cut by two with costly doubles including OB on 7, inflating his driving stats despite foul balls. Rasmus Højgaard fired a Sunday 62, notching 24 birdies and an eagle, nearly forcing a playoff but undone by a double Thursday. Välimäki has two runner-ups in three starts and four rounds of 67 or better last week with all clubs clicking. Lindell cashed a matchup over Eugenio Chikara, who missed the cut. Side notes—an Oasis concert and Felix Auger Aliassime’s upset at Armstrong—reinforce the theme that momentum fuels performance.

Irish Open preview: The K Club stretches over 7,300 yards with 15 water hazards, demanding precision on approach and a confident putter on undulating greens. Driving accuracy is less vital than second-shot brilliance. Historical scoring—McIlroy 12-under in 2016, Norman 14-under in 2023—signals moderate winning totals. Market outlook: Rory at +425 is passed on after BMW 12th and Tour Championship 23rd, where putting and short game regressed. Tyrrell Hatton at 14-1 is avoided after no top-20 in four starts and prior missed cuts here. Marco Ping at 16-1 is faded on regressing irons and cold putter despite headline results.

The actionable card: Shane Lowry 16-1 outright, backed by elite approach play and a resurgent putter, plus deep history at home including T3 here last year. Rasmus Niergaard-Peterson, with three straight top-16s and nearly +2 on approach last week, is a top-10 bet at +187 and favored in a matchup over Keita Nakajima, whose approach play is negative and chipping shaky. Sleeper Andy Sullivan is a top-10 at 5-1 after strong ball striking and putting through Scotland (17th), Nexo (7th), Danish (16th), and 5th at the Belfry, with The K Club minimizing his lack of distance. Best bet: Lowry top-10 at +150. The show closes urging listeners to use code PUT25 at Pregame for picks and to follow @drmedia59, with a preview of the BMW PGA at Wentworth next week.


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