3 Exits, Coinbase IPO & Why Index Funds Fail Business Owners | Dr. Adam Link (#45)
03 April 2026

3 Exits, Coinbase IPO & Why Index Funds Fail Business Owners | Dr. Adam Link (#45)

Exit Algorithms

About

Serial exits, earn out traps, index fund risks, crypto strategy, and AI disruption in financial advising from a CFP with a doctorate in computer science.

Dr. Adam Link, founder of Fireweed Capital and former senior engineering manager at Coinbase, joins Exit Algorithms to break down what business owners get wrong about investing, exits, and building wealth that lasts.

Adam has exited three companies, was at Coinbase through its IPO, and built Fireweed Capital for tech founders and tech families who need an advisor that speaks their language.

We cover:

– From investment banking to three exits to the Coinbase IPO: how all of it led Adam to found Fireweed Capital
– The earn out trap from his first exit: he and the acquirer had completely different definitions of what hitting the metrics meant, and he who has the gold makes the rules
– Why the $50,000 threshold is the real benchmark for deciding whether to sue over a contract dispute
– Why index funds break down in real life: the efficient market hypothesis is not true, humans hate losing twice as much as they love winning, and "just hold on" is not real financial advice
– Why business owners should play defense with their portfolios since their offense is already in the business
– Why Adam skips individual crypto coins but is excited about real world asset tokenization as the future of customer ownership for small businesses
– How AI transformed his practice: Claude in real time on client calls, a full marketing funnel built in a weekend for $300, and why multi-agent AI systems are the real future
– Why SaaS companies need to reckon with the fact that a competent engineer with AI can replicate their platform for less than a typical onboarding fee
– Adam's practical tip: spend a quarter planning your exit before it happens. Most owners spend 10 years building and five minutes planning, and end up owing taxes instead of building generational wealth

Connect with Adam at fireweedcapital.com or adam@fireweedcapital.com.
Ready to grow and plan your exit? Visit www.BizExitGrow.com.

Related episodes:
– Ep. 41: Business Exit Planning, Trusts and Taxes with Jeff Condren
– Ep. 40: $450M in Deals and the M&A Playbook with Marty Fahncke

00:00 Intro: Meet Dr. Adam Link, founder of Fireweed Capital
01:13 Finance degree, investment banking, tech startups, and Coinbase IPO
03:45 Earn out traps and the golden rule of business
07:57 Failing to raise capital and knowing when to walk away
09:38 The $50,000 benchmark for contract disputes
12:44 Why index funds fail real investors and what Fireweed Capital does instead
16:36 How business owners should diversify away from the business
20:58 Crypto strategy and real world asset tokenization
25:41 AI in financial advising: Claude on calls, multi-agent systems, and $300 marketing funnels
31:53 Why SaaS companies are about to be weighed against AI token costs
34:13 Adam's practical tip: plan your exit before it happens

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