11 November 2026
What $3 Million of NFL Bets Taught Me About Timing | Presented by ProphetX
Circles Off - Sports Betting Podcasts
About
Why Rob Pizzola won't give out his picks, and what he does instead. He explains why timing matters more than any single selection: why he gets his bets down early in the week, why a number that holds up as limits rise has been tested, how to read a Friday number, and the one late-week situation where betting late is fine.
He also covers the difference between betting for fun and betting to win, why the same principle holds across the NFL, college football and the NBA, the one piece of sizing advice he gives everyone, and whether teaching process over picks is worth it. It's one bettor's approach, not the only one.
🔴 Does the market sharpen through the week? Watch next: https://youtu.be/ZhNnPtayBoM
🟢 Sponsored by ProphetX, America's #1 Sports Prediction Market. Sign up with promo code CIRCLESOFF — Trade $50, get $75: https://www.prophetx.co/
📅 New episodes of Circle Back every Monday, Interviews/Industry Insights/Standalone videos every Wednesday, and new episodes Off Script every Friday, all at 1:30 PM ET on their respective days
🔵 Sign up with EDGE Boost - https://www.edgeboost.bet/guide?oid=553&affid=117
🟠 JuiceReel picks - https://links.juicereel.com/friendRequest?redirectUri=anVpY2VyZWVsOi8vYWRkRnJpZW5kL1RoZUhhbW1lci85OWE0YTA2NDRiMDIyYzhjZmU2MDI0YTk2YWRiNWFhOS00N2NlZWEzZTg1YTdmOTFlOGQxN2JiYzhlZmRjZDlhMA%3D%3D
📊 Scale with Betstamp PRO → https://bit.ly/4eNvuWc
LINKS
🎮 Join The Hammer's Discord: https://discord.gg/hammer
✉️ Sign up for our newsletter: https://kirknewsletter.thehammer.bet/
🔨 The Hammer Betting Network: https://thehammer.bet/
SOCIALS
🔵 Circles Off on Twitter - https://x.com/CirclesOffHQ
⬛️ Circles Off on TikTok - https://www.tiktok.com/@circlesoffhq
🟪 Circles Off on Insta - https://www.instagram.com/circlesoffhq/
FOLLOW
🔵 Follow Rob - https://x.com/robpizzola
OUR OTHER CHANNELS
🔨 https://www.youtube.com/@TheHammerHQ
🏈 https://www.youtube.com/@FwdProgressHQ
📚 https://www.youtube.com/@HitTheBooksHQ
SHOW INDEX
0:00 - The Message I Sent Six People
1:51 - My Inbox on a Sunday
3:26 - Why This Is Hard for Me
5:28 - Picks Are What's in Demand
7:04 - How I Actually Bet
11:06 - How to Read a Friday Number
13:55 - The One Late-Week Bet That's Fine
14:49 - Recreational vs Expecting to Win
15:45 - Not Just an NFL Thing
16:12 - The Only Advice I Have
17:26 - Is Teaching the Process Worth It?
20:16 - Your Turn
Circles Off podcast is an entertainment podcast. The opinions expressed in the podcast are for the purpose of discussion in the area of sports betting, online gaming and other like markets. Circles Off podcast does not condone unlawful or illegal activity, and if you are unsure of the laws in your jurisdiction surrounding these markets, please seek the appropriate legal advice about strategies that you intend to implement. Please gamble responsibly.
#SportsBetting #NFLBetting #BettingStrategy #SharpBetting #LineMovement #CirclesOff
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
He also covers the difference between betting for fun and betting to win, why the same principle holds across the NFL, college football and the NBA, the one piece of sizing advice he gives everyone, and whether teaching process over picks is worth it. It's one bettor's approach, not the only one.
🔴 Does the market sharpen through the week? Watch next: https://youtu.be/ZhNnPtayBoM
🟢 Sponsored by ProphetX, America's #1 Sports Prediction Market. Sign up with promo code CIRCLESOFF — Trade $50, get $75: https://www.prophetx.co/
📅 New episodes of Circle Back every Monday, Interviews/Industry Insights/Standalone videos every Wednesday, and new episodes Off Script every Friday, all at 1:30 PM ET on their respective days
🔵 Sign up with EDGE Boost - https://www.edgeboost.bet/guide?oid=553&affid=117
🟠 JuiceReel picks - https://links.juicereel.com/friendRequest?redirectUri=anVpY2VyZWVsOi8vYWRkRnJpZW5kL1RoZUhhbW1lci85OWE0YTA2NDRiMDIyYzhjZmU2MDI0YTk2YWRiNWFhOS00N2NlZWEzZTg1YTdmOTFlOGQxN2JiYzhlZmRjZDlhMA%3D%3D
📊 Scale with Betstamp PRO → https://bit.ly/4eNvuWc
LINKS
🎮 Join The Hammer's Discord: https://discord.gg/hammer
✉️ Sign up for our newsletter: https://kirknewsletter.thehammer.bet/
🔨 The Hammer Betting Network: https://thehammer.bet/
SOCIALS
🔵 Circles Off on Twitter - https://x.com/CirclesOffHQ
⬛️ Circles Off on TikTok - https://www.tiktok.com/@circlesoffhq
🟪 Circles Off on Insta - https://www.instagram.com/circlesoffhq/
FOLLOW
🔵 Follow Rob - https://x.com/robpizzola
OUR OTHER CHANNELS
🔨 https://www.youtube.com/@TheHammerHQ
🏈 https://www.youtube.com/@FwdProgressHQ
📚 https://www.youtube.com/@HitTheBooksHQ
SHOW INDEX
0:00 - The Message I Sent Six People
1:51 - My Inbox on a Sunday
3:26 - Why This Is Hard for Me
5:28 - Picks Are What's in Demand
7:04 - How I Actually Bet
11:06 - How to Read a Friday Number
13:55 - The One Late-Week Bet That's Fine
14:49 - Recreational vs Expecting to Win
15:45 - Not Just an NFL Thing
16:12 - The Only Advice I Have
17:26 - Is Teaching the Process Worth It?
20:16 - Your Turn
Circles Off podcast is an entertainment podcast. The opinions expressed in the podcast are for the purpose of discussion in the area of sports betting, online gaming and other like markets. Circles Off podcast does not condone unlawful or illegal activity, and if you are unsure of the laws in your jurisdiction surrounding these markets, please seek the appropriate legal advice about strategies that you intend to implement. Please gamble responsibly.
#SportsBetting #NFLBetting #BettingStrategy #SharpBetting #LineMovement #CirclesOff
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices